Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to earn 4.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (16.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.2% in games he has played).
Geno Smith has picked up 20.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league among QBs (79th percentile).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 5.83 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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