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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 205.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -13-point disadvantage, the Raiders are massive underdogs this week, indicating much more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This year, the poor Chiefs defense has surrendered a monstrous 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Raiders to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.

Geno Smith's 189.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a meaningful regression in his throwing proficiency over last year's 256.0 figure.

Geno Smith's 65.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a noteable regression in his throwing precision over last year's 70.1% rate.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 7th-fewest yards in the league (just 199.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

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