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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 220.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 220.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has given up a whopping 75.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Raiders, who are favored by 3.5 points.

With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Raiders.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.5 total plays run: the 5th-fewest out of all the games this week.

Geno Smith has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (166.0) this season than he did last season (256.0).

Geno Smith's 64.9% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a material regression in his throwing precision over last season's 70.1% mark.

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