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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 197.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 205.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 197.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Geno Smith has been among the best precision passers in football since the start of last season with a stellar 71.7% Completion%, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 27.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.

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