Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 2:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 239.5 (+119/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 249.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 239.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 37.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Geno Smith's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.8% to 72.8%.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have passed for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 198.0 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the league vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (66.5%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, allowing 6.54 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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