Geno Smith Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Pass Attempts

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-142/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 36.0 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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