Geno Smith Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · New York Jets

Interceptions

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+109/-117).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.
The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Jets being a 3.5-point favorite this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets this year (just 55.3 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Geno Smith to throw 31.2 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.

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