Geno Smith Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · New York Jets

Interceptions

Chicago Bears vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-144/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
Geno Smith has tallied 0.85 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the projection model to run only 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) since the start of last season.
Chicago's defense grades out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to making interceptions, notching 1.16 per game.
The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.