Geno Smith Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Interceptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers have intercepted 0.55 balls per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-worst defense in football by this metric

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per play.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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