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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Interceptions
Player Prop Week 19

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-220/+172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -220.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 36.0 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.

The San Francisco 49ers have intercepted 1.03 balls per game this year, ranking as the 2nd-best defense in the NFL by this metric.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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