Geno Smith Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Interceptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams have intercepted 0.55 throws per game this year, ranking as the 8th-worst defense in football by this standard
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Geno Smith has totaled just 0.50 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 75th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.