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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 29.2 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
  • Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 70.1% to 65.4%.

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