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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.
  • This week, Geno Smith is projected by our trusted projection set to have the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.0.
  • Geno Smith's passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.3% to 68.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in football versus the Rams defense this year (69.4% Adjusted Completion%).

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