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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-128/-102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Geno Smith has attempted 38.3 throws per game this year, checking in at the 97th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • Geno Smith's 68.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful growth in his throwing precision over last season's 65.3% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.
  • The Seattle offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • This year, the stout Jets defense has conceded a meager 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The New York Jets cornerbacks profile as the 7th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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