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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

Geno Smith has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this year (14.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Seahawks as the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.

The Rams defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

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