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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs Buffalo Bills

Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

After making up 8.2% of his team's run game usage last season, Geno Smith has been called on more in the run game this season, currently making up 13.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 11th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 40.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

More Geno Smith Player Props

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