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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Geno Smith has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (14.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (8.2%).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 6th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

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