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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins

Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Miami's unit has been fantastic since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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