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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Geno Smith has been a more important option in his offense's run game this season (14.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (8.2%).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 37.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by the projections to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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