Geno Smith Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to accrue 4.3 carries this week, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 27th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-least run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per play.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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