Garrett Wilson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Garrett Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Garrett Wilson

WR · New York Jets

Receptions

New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Jets being a -3-point underdog this week.
In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is forecasted by the model to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.4 targets.
Garrett Wilson has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 33.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
Garrett Wilson checks in as one of the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 4.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.3%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (67.3%).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 10th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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