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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -161 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to accrue 9.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Garrett Wilson's 62.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 76.5.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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