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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to earn 8.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

Garrett Wilson has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 25.4% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 89th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Jets will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.4%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (63.4%).

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