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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.9% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to accrue 9.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs.

Garrett Wilson has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 23.0% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 5th-least in football.

The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The New York Jets have utilized play action on just 23.1% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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