Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Garrett Wilson

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to notch 10.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
Garrett Wilson has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 32.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
When it comes to air yards, Garrett Wilson ranks in the towering 88th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 85.0 per game.
With an outstanding 58.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Garrett Wilson rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.