My Account Log Out

reorder

Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) this year.

Garrett Wilson has run a route on 97.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

The projections expect Garrett Wilson to garner 8.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Jets offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Garrett Wilson has totaled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (86.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the New York Jets as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see just 123.6 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a lowly 46.2 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Garrett Wilson has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (92.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).

More Garrett Wilson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™