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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to accrue 9.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Garrett Wilson has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (76.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).

Garrett Wilson's 62.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 76.5.

With a weak 6.6 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson places among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

This year, the daunting Minnesota Vikings pass defense has given up the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a puny 3.3 YAC.

More Garrett Wilson Player Props

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