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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We should be able to expect some correction with better weather in this game.

Garrett Wilson has run a route on 98.1% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among wide receivers with 10.3 targets.

Garrett Wilson has notched a whopping 104.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 4-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

With a subpar 6.6 adjusted yards per target (9th percentile) last year, Garrett Wilson rates among the worst wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

The Titans safeties grade out as the 6th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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