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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-728).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -683 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -728.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to be a much smaller part of his team's air attack near the goal line this week (15.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.0% in games he has played).

The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).

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