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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Gardner Minshew TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-240/+175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.0% red zone pass rate.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 10th-best in football this year.

Gardner Minshew's 70.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable growth in his throwing precision over last year's 61.9% mark.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest clip in football vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (72.9% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Raiders to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.0 plays per game.

In this contest, Gardner Minshew is expected by the predictive model to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 28.9.

This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has allowed a meager 0.75 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

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