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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive strategy to skew 1.0% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to run on 44.7% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are anticipated by the projections to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Colts this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average).
  • The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the league (157 per game) versus the Panthers defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In this week's game, Gardner Minshew is predicted by the model to accrue the 7th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.9.
  • Gardner Minshew is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for a lowly 4.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 18th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Gardner Minshew has averaged a measly 7.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (17th percentile).

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