Gardner Minshew Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Gardner Minshew

NFL · Player Props

Gardner Minshew

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Pass Attempts

Indianapolis Colts vs New Orleans Saints · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Gardner Minshew Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a monstrous 61.7 per game on average).
The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive blueprint to tilt 1.6% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.
In racking up a mere 28.2 pass attempts per game this year, Gardner Minshew ranks among the bottom QBs in football (19th percentile) for this stat.

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