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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Interceptions
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Gardner Minshew Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Browns linebackers grade out as the 10th-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Gardner Minshew is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the 10th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 34.8.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.4 per game) since the start of last season.

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