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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Gardner Minshew Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Gardner Minshew has been a more integral piece of his team's ground game this year (11.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 40.3% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Gardner Minshew is forecasted by the model to garner the 7th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 1.8.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's group of DTs has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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