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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Gardner Minshew Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (41.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Raiders.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

After comprising 5.8% of his team's carries last year, Gardner Minshew has had a larger role in the ground game this year, currently taking on 13.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being an enormous -7-point underdog this week.

The leading projections forecast the Raiders to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a measly 54.8 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Gardner Minshew to total 3.0 carries this week, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all QBs.

The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 5th-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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