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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-625/+380).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -625 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -625.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.

Gabriel Davis has run a route on 87.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Gabriel Davis's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 53.0% to 68.6%.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New York's CB corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.

The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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