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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Gabe Davis has run a route on 94.7% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Gabriel Davis has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a measly 53.3% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 3rd percentile among wide receivers

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