Gabriel Davis Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Gabe Davis has run a route on 94.7% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Gabriel Davis has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a measly 53.3% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 3rd percentile among wide receivers

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