My Account Log Out

reorder

Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Gabriel Davis Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+153/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +153.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.4 plays per game.

The Buffalo Bills have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

Gabe Davis has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 15.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

Gabe Davis grades out in the 89th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.39 per game.

The Buffalo Bills O-line has afforded their QB 2.72 seconds before the pass (4th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.6%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (64.6%).

The Miami Dolphins defense has allowed the 10th-least passing touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.84 per game since the start of last season.

The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 5th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

More Gabriel Davis Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™