Foster Moreau Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-200).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Texans have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
Foster Moreau's 13.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 4.8.
Favors Under
Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded a puny 64.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.