Foster Moreau Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Foster Moreau

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Foster Moreau has been on the field for 59.7% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Saints O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Patriots pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.1%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (68.1%).
The New England Patriots linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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