Foster Moreau Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-126/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to total 5.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to be much more involved in his team's passing attack this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.4% in games he has played).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (56%) versus tight ends this year (56.0%).
The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.