Foster Moreau Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Foster Moreau

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+189/-228).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -228.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Texans to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 132.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
The Houston Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Foster Moreau's 13.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 4.8.

Favors Under

This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3 points.
With a lackluster 10.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Foster Moreau rates as one of the worst pass-game tight ends in the NFL.
This year, the fierce Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a mere 3.2 YAC.

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