Foster Moreau Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Foster Moreau

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Houston Texans as the 10th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 58.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.6 plays per game.
The Colts defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the league (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.
The Colts defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (63.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Foster Moreau has run a route on 16.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 22nd percentile when it comes to TEs.
The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
With a poor 10.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (21st percentile) since the start of last season, Foster Moreau ranks as one of the weakest tight ends in the pass game in the league.

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