Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Foster Moreau has been on the field for 59.7% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
As it relates to air yards, Foster Moreau grades out in the towering 79th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 24.0 per game.
Favors Under
The Saints O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Patriots pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.1%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (68.1%).
Since the start of last season, the imposing New England Patriots defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.7 yards.
The New England Patriots linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.