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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+335/-560).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +335.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
  • Foster Moreau has accrued a monstrous 27.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile among TEs.
  • Foster Moreau has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 29.0 yards per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.
  • Foster Moreau has been among the top TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 7.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 95th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Saints have been the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 55.7% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to be a much smaller part of his offense's air attack this week (4.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.3% in games he has played).

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