Foster Moreau Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-128/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to garner 5.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack this week (16.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (11.3% in games he has played).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Foster Moreau has been among the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a stellar 33.0 yards per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
Foster Moreau's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating a measly 6.86 yards-per-target vs a 8.50 rate last season.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (67.5%) vs. TEs this year (67.5%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a measly 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.