Foster Moreau Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Foster Moreau has totaled significantly more air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Foster Moreau has been among the best pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a stellar 30.0 yards per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.
Foster Moreau's skills in picking up extra yardage have been refined this year, totaling 8.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 4.97 mark last year.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line has given their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game this week (6.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.2% in games he has played).
Foster Moreau has been among the worst possession receivers in the league among TEs, completing a measly 65.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.