Foster Moreau Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Foster Moreau

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to earn 5.8 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among TEs.
Foster Moreau has put up a monstrous 22.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among tight ends.
Foster Moreau's 22.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 15.7.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Foster Moreau's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching just 7.01 yards-per-target vs a 8.50 mark last year.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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