Foster Moreau Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Foster Moreau

NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Sep 29, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-1011).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -773 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1011.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Foster Moreau's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 68.4% to 86.5%.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 3rd-least TDs through the air in football to tight ends: 0.20 per game since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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