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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-1011).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -773 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1011.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Foster Moreau's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 68.4% to 86.5%.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 3rd-least TDs through the air in football to tight ends: 0.20 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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