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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders

Foster Moreau Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+278/-476).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -458 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -476.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (14.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.3% in games he has played).

Foster Moreau's 21.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 15.7.

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Foster Moreau's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 68.4% to 72.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Las Vegas Raiders have utilized play action on just 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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